By: Brian Evans

At a time when Americans are hungry for relief from inflation, job insecurity, and government waste, President Trump’s Big Beautiful Bill emerges as a serious solution—not just another spending gimmick. Critics, led by entrenched Washington bureaucrats and partisan opposition, claim the bill will add trillions to our deficit. But the facts tell a different story: not only will the bill not increase the deficit, it will actually reduce it, all while fueling economic growth, expanding the middle class, and pulling more Americans—especially minorities—out of poverty.

This isn’t theory. It’s reality. The latest economic indicators prove that Trump’s policies are already working, even before the full impact of the bill has been felt.

🔍 CBO vs. CEA: The Battle Over the Budget Baseline

Much of the controversy surrounding the bill’s fiscal impact comes down to one critical question: Which baseline are we using?

The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) claims the bill would add $3.3 trillion to the deficit—but this is based on a “current law” baseline, which assumes Trump’s 2017 tax cuts will expire, despite Congress’s history of extending them.

In contrast, the President’s Council of Economic Advisers (CEA) and the Office of Management and Budget (OMB) use a more realistic “current policy” baseline—assuming these middle-class tax cuts stay in place.

Under the CEA/OMB model, the bill is projected to reduce the deficit by $4.5 trillion.

As Russ Vought, former OMB Director, rightly put it:

“Those saying that the Senate bill increases deficits are comparing it to a projection where spending is eternal, and tax relief sunsets. That is a Leftist presupposition.”

And when combined with the total Trump economic plan—energy independence, deregulation, trade reform, and tax relief—the estimated deficit reduction could exceed $8.87 trillion over the next decade.

📉 Flaws in the CBO’s Track Record—and Its Political Bias

Americans deserve accurate, apolitical economic forecasting. Unfortunately, the CBO has a long and well-documented history of getting it wrong.

In 2022, the CBO claimed that Biden’s so-called Inflation Reduction Act would lower the deficit by $58.1 billion.

By 2024, it revised that projection to a $428 billion deficit increase due to underestimating green tax credit costs and EV subsidies.

Even more disturbing is the ideological slant inside the agency. A report by the Foundation for Government Accountability (FGA) revealed that nearly 79% of CBO employees are registered Democrats. In other words, nearly 4 out of every 5 CBO staffers belong to a single political party—the same party that opposes Trump’s economic policies at every turn.

This ideological imbalance raises serious questions about the objectivity and accuracy of the CBO’s projections. When a supposedly “neutral” agency consistently underestimates the impact of conservative reforms and overstates the benefits of big-government spending, it becomes clear: we’re not dealing with impartial math—we’re dealing with partisan politics disguised as fiscal analysis.

Perhaps most damning: the CBO continues to grossly underestimate GDP growth under conservative, pro-growth policies.

For example:

The CBO projects long-term GDP growth of just 0.4%–1.8%, ignoring evidence that pro-growth tax, energy, and trade policies could raise GDP growth to 2.5–2.8% or higher under Trump’s plan.

According to OMB and Tax Foundation analysis, every 0.1% increase in annual GDP growth cuts the federal budget deficit by approximately $314 billion over 10 years. That means if Trump’s policies increase GDP growth just 1% above CBO’s baseline, the deficit shrinks by more than $3 trillion.

That alone flips the narrative completely—transforming Trump’s Big Beautiful Bill from a so-called “cost” to a massive long-term savings engine.

📈 Trump’s Economic Policies Are Already Working

Even before the bill’s full implementation, June 2025’s economic data shows Trump’s America First strategy is working:

147,000 new jobs added, particularly in healthcare and education.

Unemployment dropped to 4.1%, continuing a months-long trend of job growth and stability.

Core inflation cooled to 2.3%, hitting the Federal Reserve’s target and easing pressure on everyday Americans.

GDP growth, under Trump’s full agenda, is projected by CEA to hit 2.5–2.8%, demolishing the CBO’s outdated pessimism.

These aren’t just statistics. They represent real families gaining hope, independence, and prosperity again.

👨‍👩‍👧‍👦 Strengthening the Middle Class and Lifting People Out of Poverty

It’s no wonder the Washington establishment fears this bill—because it puts everyday Americans, not bureaucrats, in control of their futures:

Tax relief on tips and overtime gives hard-working Americans—from waitresses to truckers to nurses—more take-home pay.

Middle-class families gain from stronger job security, lower mortgage rates, and reduced inflation.

Small businesses, freed from overregulation and penalizing tax rates, are investing, hiring, and thriving again.

Where Biden’s policies increased dependency on government programs, Trump’s Big Beautiful Bill restores economic freedom and self-reliance.

✊ Trump’s Policies Deliver for Minority Communities

While the radical Left drowns in identity politics and empty slogans, Trump delivers actual results for the communities they claim to champion:

Black unemployment has dropped to 6.8%, a significant recovery from pandemic-era highs.

Hispanic unemployment is down to 4.8%, approaching parity with white workers.

Working-class tax cuts disproportionately benefit minorities in tipped, hourly, and service-sector roles.

These aren’t “performative” policies. They’re real-world wins for Americans who’ve been ignored by the DC elite for decades.

✅ Conclusion: A Bill America Can Afford—and Can’t Afford to Ignore

Democrats accuse Republicans of “faking the math.” But what’s truly fake is the CBO’s economic pessimism, its refusal to factor in growth, and its reliance on sunset provisions that no Congress has ever let expire.

Worse, the agency most responsible for informing our fiscal debate is dominated by a single party’s worldview, casting serious doubt on the so-called “neutral” analysis they offer.

President Trump’s Big Beautiful Bill is grounded in reality, not ideology. It’s built on growth, efficiency, fairness, and freedom. It cuts taxes, slashes waste, strengthens families, lifts people out of poverty, and—most importantly—pays for itself through economic expansion.

It’s time for America to reject doom-and-gloom accounting and re-embrace the proven formula of prosperity. The choice is clear:

More bloated government, weak growth, and rising debt under the Left…

Or empowered workers, growing wages, shrinking deficits, and restored American strength under Trump.

America can’t afford not to pass this bill.